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⚠️ TEST-MODUS — Keine Orders wurden platziert oder storniert

Weekly US Market Report

Report-Woche: 2026-04-24

🟢 Marktampel: Bullish  (5/6)
Marktampel-Kriterien
✅ SPY über 10W MA +5.49%
✅ QQQ über 10W MA +9.17%
✅ Marktbreite >55% über 10W EMA 63.2%
❌ Wochenkursgewinner >55% 35.6%
✅ New Highs > New Lows NH=305, NL=63
✅ SPY MACD-Momentum positiv +2.3977

1) Marktbreite – Vergleich

Aktuelle Woche Woche −1 Woche −4
% über 10‑Wochen‑EMA 63.23% 74.90% 24.88%
% über 21‑Wochen‑EMA 57.75% 65.12% 31.34%
% über 50‑Wochen‑MA 57.46% 60.67% 43.41%
Neue 52W‑Hochs (Anzahl) 305 447 150
Neue 52W‑Tiefs (Anzahl) 63 18 357
1W-Kursgewinner (%) 35.57% 80.81% 49.22%
NH/(NH+NL) (%) 82.88% 96.13% 29.59%

1b) Sektor-Performance (Wochenbasis)

Sektor ETF Performance Woche
Technology XLK +3.45%
Energy XLE +2.51%
Consumer Staples XLP +0.99%
Utilities XLU +0.11%
Materials XLB -0.22%
Industrials XLI -0.62%
Real Estate XLRE -1.09%
Consumer Discret. XLY -1.62%
Financials XLF -1.86%
Communication XLC -2.89%
Health Care XLV -3.42%

2) Trend & Momentum (Weekly)

Metrik S&P 500 (SPY) Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Russell 2000 (IWM)
Close 712.07 661.63 276.41
Δ WoW 0.27% 1.97% 0.23%
RSI(14) 56.5 61.6 57.4
Δ RSI 1.40% 4.93% -2.72%
MACD 7.25 8.83 6.24
Signal 6.44 6.02 5.47
Δ MACD 2.40% 3.41% 1.00%
vs 10W MA 5.49% 9.17% 7.40%

Divergenzanalyse

Russell 2000 (IWM): Kursanstieg bei fallendem RSI → möglicher Momentumverlust / RSI fällt, aber MACD steigt → mögliches Rebound-Signal

3) Risiko & Sentiment

Metrik Aktuell Vorwoche Δ
Volatility Index (VIX) 18.63 17.48 6.58
10Y Interest Rate 4.32 4.25 1.65
US Dollar Index (UUP) 27.50 27.36 0.51

4) Fazit

Neutral: Selektiv vorgehen, auf Bestätigungen warten.

5) 💼 Alpaca Portfolio

Cash
$69,208
Equity
$104,603
Unrealized P&L
+$6,434  (+6.6%)
Positionen
4
CRDO
93 Stk  ·  Ø $162.48
Aktuell: $191.93
+$2,739    +18.1% ▲
Marktwert: $17,850
ON
180 Stk  ·  Ø $83.14
Aktuell: $97.96
+$2,668    +17.8% ▲
Marktwert: $17,633
VSH
578 Stk  ·  Ø $26.47
Aktuell: $28.21
+$1,006    +6.6% ▲
Marktwert: $16,305
AVNS
608 Stk  ·  Ø $24.64
Aktuell: $24.68
+$21    +0.1% ▲
Marktwert: $15,002

6) 📈 Kaufsignale (Blueprint-Regelwerk)

Marktfilter: S&P 500 10W EMA > 20W EMA ✅  | Marktbreite: 100.0% über 200d ✅  |  Position: 15.0% des Kapitals (15,000 €/$)  |  Kelly-Fraction: 1/3  |  Signale gesamt: 2  | Alpaca Cash: $69,208  | Offen (4): AVNS, CRDO, ON, VSH

Rang Ticker Unternehmen Sektor / Branche Muster Entry Buy-Stop Max. Gap Stop-Loss Stop % BO-Level Dist 52W H RS ΔRS 4W Industry
Rank		 ROE % Op.Margin Rev. Growth Position Risiko / Equity
🏆 1 KALU Kaiser Aluminum Corporation Basic Materials
Aluminum		 – 177.56 177.74 186.44 159.80 10.0% – 0.7% 94 +7 1 18.8% 8.8% 42.4% 15.0% 1.5%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 4.2% <8%
2 VICR Vicor Corporation Technology
Electronic components		 – 266.02 266.29 279.32 239.42 10.0% – 8.7% 98 +1 2 20.5% 14.9% 20.2% 15.0% 1.5%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 7.2% <8%

Ranking-Score = RS(35%) + ΔRS 4W(20%) + Muster(20%) + Tightness(15%) + Industry(10%). 🏆 = Top-1 Kaufkandidaten. 🔵 Buy-Stop = Einstiegsorder (max(Entry, Pivot) +0.1%)  |  🔴 Max. Gap = Order verwerfen wenn Montag-Open über diesem Preis (Pivot +5%)  |  🟢/🔴 Scorecard = Minervini-Kriterien  |  Rot hinterlegt = Risiko/Equity > 1.8%.

7) Marktführer nach Minervini (Score 8/8)

KN  SA 29.87
Knowles Corporation
Electronic components
⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +3
Rev: +14  EPS: +113
Dist 52W H: 6.3%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
VECO  SA 52.24
Veeco Instruments Inc.
Electronic production equipment
⭐ 8/8 RS 93 ΔRS +8
Rev: -9  EPS: +255
Dist 52W H: 0.9%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
ACLS  SA 144.57
Axcelis Technologies, Inc.
Industrial machinery
⭐ 8/8 RS 94 ΔRS +10
Rev: -6  EPS: +19
Dist 52W H: 1.8%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
MXL  SA 60.72
MaxLinear, Inc
Semiconductors
⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS +26
Rev: +48  EPS: -175
Dist 52W H: 4.7%
❌ EPS-Q < 20%
EWBC  SA 122.71
East West Bancorp, Inc.
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 71 ΔRS +17
Rev: +14  EPS: +12
Dist 52W H: 1.7%
❌ Rev < 20%
RS  SA 349.97
Reliance, Inc.
Steel
⭐ 8/8 RS 62 ΔRS +9
Rev: +16  EPS: +28
Dist 52W H: 4.3%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
GHRS  SA 19.27
GH Research PLC
Pharmaceuticals: major
⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +30
Rev: –  EPS: +132
Dist 52W H: 22.3%
❌ Rev fehlt · EPS-Q fehlt
GFS  SA 62.56
GlobalFoundries Inc.
Semiconductors
⭐ 8/8 RS 87 ΔRS +16
Rev: 0  EPS: +49
Dist 52W H: 3.9%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
VFS  SA 4.39
VinFast Auto Ltd.
Motor vehicles
⭐ 8/8 RS 74 ΔRS +21
Rev: +139  EPS: -37
Dist 52W H: 16.8%
❌ Rank > 50 · ATR > 8% · Kurs < $5 · EPS-Q < 20%
SEMR  SA 11.99
SEMrush Holdings, Inc.
Packaged software
⭐ 8/8 RS 69 ΔRS -9
Rev: +15  EPS: -502
Dist 52W H: 0.1%
❌ MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rank > 50 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
VICR  SA 266.02
Vicor Corporation
Electronic components
⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS +1
Rev: +20  EPS: +106
Dist 52W H: 8.7%
✅ Kaufkandidat
INBX  SA 122.31
Inhibrx Biosciences, Inc.
Biotechnology
⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS +1
Rev: -100  EPS: -69
Dist 52W H: 21.2%
❌ ATR > 8% · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
STLD  SA 223.73
Steel Dynamics, Inc.
Steel
⭐ 8/8 RS 84 ΔRS +8
Rev: +19  EPS: +81
Dist 52W H: 2.0%
❌ Rev < 20%
NTRS  SA 164.03
Northern Trust Corporation
Investment managers
⭐ 8/8 RS 81 ΔRS +11
Rev: +14  EPS: +23
Dist 52W H: 5.3%
❌ Rev < 20%
RCUS  SA 25.05
Arcus Biosciences, Inc.
Biotechnology
⭐ 8/8 RS 93 ΔRS -0
Rev: +27  EPS: +7
Dist 52W H: 12.8%
❌ EPS-Q < 20%
DBRG  SA 15.60
DigitalBridge Group, Inc. Class A
Investment managers
⭐ 8/8 RS 82 ΔRS -3
Rev: -28  EPS: -17
Dist 52W H: 0.3%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
POET  SA 14.97
POET Technologies Inc.
Electrical products
⭐ 8/8 RS 96 ΔRS +45
Rev: +1075  EPS: -100
Dist 52W H: 2.5%
❌ ATR > 8% · EPS-Q fehlt
ARCO  SA 9.15
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
Restaurants
⭐ 8/8 RS 65 ΔRS +5
Rev: +11  EPS: -15
Dist 52W H: 6.1%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
TFIN  SA 66.90
Triumph Financial, Inc.
Savings banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 61 ΔRS +22
Rev: +6  EPS: +113
Dist 52W H: 13.9%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
HCSG  SA 22.24
Healthcare Services Group, Inc.
Miscellaneous commercial services
⭐ 8/8 RS 81 ΔRS -4
Rev: +3  EPS: +21
Dist 52W H: 8.7%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20%
KALU  SA 177.56
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
Aluminum
⭐ 8/8 RS 94 ΔRS +7
Rev: +42  EPS: +6
Dist 52W H: 0.7%
✅ Kaufkandidat
HLX  SA 9.54
Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
Oilfield services/Equipment
⭐ 8/8 RS 76 ΔRS -5
Rev: +4  EPS: +455
Dist 52W H: 11.2%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
TXN  SA 275.89
Texas Instruments Incorporated
Semiconductors
⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +30
Rev: +19  EPS: +53
Dist 52W H: 4.0%
❌ Rev < 20%
NKTR  SA 89.41
Nektar Therapeutics
Pharmaceuticals: major
⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS -0
Rev: -25  EPS: +15
Dist 52W H: 18.0%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
ERAS  SA 21.07
Erasca, Inc.
Pharmaceuticals: major
⭐ 8/8 RS 99 ΔRS -0
Rev: –  EPS: +23
Dist 52W H: 13.2%
❌ ATR > 8% · Rev fehlt · EPS-Q < 20%
NVTS  SA 17.59
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation
Semiconductors
⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS +2
Rev: -59  EPS: -75
Dist 52W H: 10.7%
❌ ATR > 8% · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
COHU  SA 46.90
Cohu, Inc.
Semiconductors
⭐ 8/8 RS 94 ΔRS +5
Rev: +30  EPS: -177
Dist 52W H: 1.1%
❌ EPS-Q < 20%