Weekly US Market Report

Report-Woche: 2026-06-06

🟡 Marktampel: Neutral  (3/6)
Marktampel-Kriterien
SPY über 10W MA +2.49%
QQQ über 10W MA +4.24%
Marktbreite >55% über 10W EMA 50.4%
Wochenkursgewinner >55% 41.7%
New Highs > New Lows NH=221, NL=154
SPY MACD-Momentum positiv -1.2971

1) Marktbreite – Vergleich

Aktuelle Woche Woche −1 Woche −4
% über 10‑Wochen‑EMA 50.42% 56.89% 60.49%
% über 21‑Wochen‑EMA 52.33% 57.11% 57.88%
% über 50‑Wochen‑MA 53.91% 56.23% 57.41%
Neue 52W‑Hochs (Anzahl) 221 294 388
Neue 52W‑Tiefs (Anzahl) 154 73 147
1W-Kursgewinner (%) 41.71% 59.35% 51.38%
NH/(NH+NL) (%) 58.93% 80.11% 72.52%

1b) Sektor-Performance (Wochenbasis)

Sektor ETF Performance Woche
Energy XLE +2.45%
Health Care XLV +2.37%
Real Estate XLRE +1.61%
Financials XLF +1.40%
Consumer Staples XLP +0.64%
Industrials XLI +0.61%
Utilities XLU -0.16%
Materials XLB -1.02%
Communication XLC -3.47%
Consumer Discret. XLY -4.97%
Technology XLK -5.61%

2) Trend & Momentum (Weekly)

Metrik S&P 500 (SPY) Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Russell 2000 (IWM)
Close 737.55 705.06 281.65
Δ WoW -2.50% -4.50% -3.02%
RSI(14) 63.3 68.9 61.3
Δ RSI -5.52% -9.65% -4.09%
MACD 20.84 31.89 10.26
Signal 14.86 21.31 8.45
Δ MACD -1.30% -2.27% -0.58%
vs 10W MA 2.49% 4.24% 1.93%

Divergenzanalyse

Keine auffälligen Divergenzen erkannt.

3) Risiko & Sentiment

Metrik Aktuell Vorwoche Δ
Volatility Index (VIX) 21.51 15.32 40.40
10Y Interest Rate 4.54 4.45 1.86
US Dollar Index (UUP) 28.02 27.66 1.30

4) Fazit

Neutral: Selektiv vorgehen, auf Bestätigungen warten.

5) 📋 Portfolio Trades – letzte Woche

Symbol Unternehmen Muster Entry Exit Entry $ Exit $ P&L $ P&L % Grund
HLIT Harmonic Inc. 2026-05-30 2026-06-06 $15.95 $15.11 $-694 -5.3% position_closed_unknown

6) 💼 Alpaca Portfolio

Cash
$19,432
Equity
$114,522
Unrealized P&L
+$27,370  (+31.4%)
Positionen
10
VSH
578 Stk  ·  Ø $26.47
Aktuell: $57.20
+$17,762    +116.1% ▲
Marktwert: $33,062
ON
180 Stk  ·  Ø $83.14
Aktuell: $117.26
+$6,142    +41.0% ▲
Marktwert: $21,107
STX
20 Stk  ·  Ø $738.18
Aktuell: $847.47
+$2,186    +14.8% ▲
Marktwert: $16,949
SANM
67 Stk  ·  Ø $225.00
Aktuell: $252.08
+$1,814    +12.0% ▲
Marktwert: $16,889
TTMI
94 Stk  ·  Ø $158.81
Aktuell: $167.62
+$828    +5.5% ▲
Marktwert: $15,756
AVNS
608 Stk  ·  Ø $24.64
Aktuell: $25.05
+$249    +1.7% ▲
Marktwert: $15,230
SKYT
431 Stk  ·  Ø $34.70
Aktuell: $34.97
+$115    +0.8% ▲
Marktwert: $15,072
NUE
59 Stk  ·  Ø $250.60
Aktuell: $254.39
+$224    +1.5% ▲
Marktwert: $15,009
AAON
97 Stk  ·  Ø $140.00
Aktuell: $132.62
$-716    -5.3% ▼
Marktwert: $12,864
CYTK
176 Stk  ·  Ø $78.49
Aktuell: $71.48
$-1,234    -8.9% ▼
Marktwert: $12,580

7) 📈 Kaufsignale (Blueprint-Regelwerk)

Marktfilter: S&P 500 10W EMA > 20W EMA ✅  | Marktbreite: 100.0% über 200d ✅  |  Position: 15.0% des Kapitals (9,716 €/$)  |  Kelly-Fraction: 1/3  |  Signale gesamt: 2  | Alpaca Cash: $19,432  | Offen (10): AAON, AVNS, CYTK, NUE, ON, SANM, SKYT, STX, TTMI, VSH

Rang Ticker Unternehmen Sektor / Branche Muster Entry Buy-Stop Max. Gap Stop-Loss Stop % BO-Level Dist 52W H RS ΔRS 4W Industry
Rank
ROE % Op.Margin EPS Growth Q Rev. Growth Vol Score Position Risiko / Equity
🏆 1 AGX Argan, Inc. Industrials
Engineering & construction
694.72 695.41 729.46 625.25 10.0% 10.8% 96 -0 3 38.5% 15.6% 56% 50.2% 1.38 15.0% 0.97%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 6.1% <8%
🏆 2 QCRH QCR Holdings, Inc. Financial Services
Major banks
93.54 93.63 98.22 84.19 10.0% 2.6% 71 +6 22 12.6% 43.7% 31% 21.1% 1.36 15.0% 0.97%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 2.3% <8%

Ranking-Score = RS(35%) + ΔRS 4W(20%) + Muster(20%) + Tightness(15%) + Industry(10%). 🏆 = Top-2 Kaufkandidaten. 🔵 Buy-Stop = Einstiegsorder (max(Entry, Pivot) +0.1%)  |  🔴 Max. Gap = Order verwerfen wenn Montag-Open über diesem Preis (Pivot +5%)  |  🟢/🔴 Scorecard = Minervini-Kriterien  |  Rot hinterlegt = Risiko/Equity > 1.8%.

8) Marktführer nach Minervini (Score 8/8)

ACNB  SA 54.88
ACNB Corporation
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 69 ΔRS +10
Rev: +43  EPS: +11
Dist 52W H: 1.4%
❌ RS < 70 · EPS-Q < 20%
GIII  SA 33.71
G-III Apparel Group, LTD.
Apparel/Footwear
⭐ 8/8 RS 62 ΔRS +5
Rev: -8  EPS: +53
Dist 52W H: 5.9%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
AGX  SA 694.72
Argan, Inc.
Engineering & construction
⭐ 8/8 RS 96 ΔRS -0
Rev: +50  EPS: +31
Dist 52W H: 10.8%
✅ Kaufkandidat
MGM  SA 47.51
MGM Resorts International
Casinos/Gaming
⭐ 8/8 RS 80 ΔRS +20
Rev: +4  EPS: +218
Dist 52W H: 7.9%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
EBC  SA 19.85
Eastern Bankshares, Inc.
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 66 ΔRS +4
Rev: -0  EPS: +20
Dist 52W H: 12.1%
❌ MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
CNO  SA 47.91
CNO Financial Group, Inc.
Multi-line insurance
⭐ 8/8 RS 67 ΔRS +11
Rev: +2  EPS: +100
Dist 52W H: 0.5%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
VSCO  SA 74.60
Victorias Secret & Co.
Apparel/Footwear retail
⭐ 8/8 RS 96 ΔRS +8
Rev: +15  EPS: +116
Dist 52W H: 8.2%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
MANU  SA 21.95
Manchester
Movies/Entertainment
⭐ 8/8 RS 82 ΔRS +11
Rev: +18  EPS: -205
Dist 52W H: 9.4%
❌ Rev < 20%
EWTX  SA 35.59
Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.
Biotechnology
⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS +1
Rev: –  EPS: +36
Dist 52W H: 12.7%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev fehlt · EPS-Q < 20%
TWLO  SA 225.99
Twilio Inc.
Packaged software
⭐ 8/8 RS 91 ΔRS +3
Rev: +20  EPS: +900
Dist 52W H: 5.2%
✅ Kaufkandidat
CENT  SA 40.16
Central Garden & Pet Company
Consumer sundries
⭐ 8/8 RS 58 ΔRS +6
Rev: +9  EPS: +13
Dist 52W H: 3.3%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
VSH  SA 57.20
Vishay Intertechnology, Inc.
Electronic production equipment
⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS +3
Rev: +17  EPS: +15315
Dist 52W H: 13.7%
❌ ATR > 8% · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
QCRH  SA 93.54
QCR Holdings, Inc.
Major banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 71 ΔRS +6
Rev: +21  EPS: +9
Dist 52W H: 2.6%
✅ Kaufkandidat
ADEA  SA 28.98
Adeia Inc.
Packaged software
⭐ 8/8 RS 94 ΔRS +2
Rev: +20  EPS: +42
Dist 52W H: 15.6%
❌ Rev < 20%
HPE  SA 49.20
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
Computer processing hardware
⭐ 8/8 RS 96 ΔRS +12
Rev: +40  EPS: +275
Dist 52W H: 23.4%
❌ EPS-Q < 20%
PEB  SA 16.89
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust
Real estate investment trusts
⭐ 8/8 RS 87 ΔRS +8
Rev: +8  EPS: -55
Dist 52W H: 1.8%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
STEL  SA 37.59
Stellar Bancorp, Inc.
Major banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 71 ΔRS +0
Rev: +7  EPS: +14
Dist 52W H: 6.5%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
HBNC  SA 18.75
Horizon Bancorp, Inc.
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 65 ΔRS +7
Rev: +8  EPS: -168
Dist 52W H: 1.7%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
FMBH  SA 45.03
First Mid Bancshares, Inc.
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 65 ΔRS +7
Rev: +14  EPS: +24
Dist 52W H: 0.7%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
SMBC  SA 69.70
Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.
Savings banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 71 ΔRS +3
Rev: +6  EPS: +13
Dist 52W H: 1.6%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
OPY  SA 97.33
Oppenheimer Holdings, Inc.
Investment banks/Brokers
⭐ 8/8 RS 81 ΔRS +4
Rev: +23  EPS: -69
Dist 52W H: 18.1%
❌ MACD fällt · EPS-Q < 20%
HBIA  SA 99.01
Hills Bancorporation
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 70 ΔRS +16
Rev: +34  EPS: –
Dist 52W H: 0.0%
✅ Kaufkandidat
AVBP  SA 30.35
ArriVent BioPharma, Inc.
Pharmaceuticals: other
⭐ 8/8 RS 76 ΔRS -5
Rev: –  EPS: +3
Dist 52W H: 9.7%
❌ Rev fehlt
SMBK  SA 42.27
SmartFinancial, Inc.
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 68 ΔRS +1
Rev: +8  EPS: +35
Dist 52W H: 3.7%
❌ MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
AVNS  SA 25.05
Avanos Medical, Inc.
Medical specialties
⭐ 8/8 RS 93 ΔRS +2
Rev: +9  EPS: -178
Dist 52W H: 1.7%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
MRVL  SA 263.47
Marvell Technology, Inc.
Semiconductors
⭐ 8/8 RS 97 ΔRS +3
Rev: +28  EPS: +113
Dist 52W H: 18.7%
❌ ATR > 8% · EPS-Q < 20%