Weekly US Market Report

Report-Woche: 2026-07-11

🟢 Marktampel: Bullish  (5/6)
Marktampel-Kriterien
✅ SPY über 10W MA +1.56%
✅ QQQ über 10W MA +0.94%
✅ Marktbreite >55% über 10W EMA 63.2%
❌ Wochenkursgewinner >55% 42.6%
✅ New Highs > New Lows NH=210, NL=80
✅ SPY MACD-Momentum positiv +0.0718

1) Marktbreite – Vergleich

Aktuelle Woche Woche −1 Woche −4
% über 10‑Wochen‑EMA 63.24% 65.31% 60.44%
% über 21‑Wochen‑EMA 63.58% 64.42% 59.04%
% über 50‑Wochen‑MA 60.62% 62.05% 57.15%
Neue 52W‑Hochs (Anzahl) 210 364 428
Neue 52W‑Tiefs (Anzahl) 80 62 109
1W-Kursgewinner (%) 42.56% 57.83% 70.81%
NH/(NH+NL) (%) 72.41% 85.45% 79.70%

1b) Sektor-Performance (Wochenbasis)

Sektor ETF Performance Woche
Energy XLE +3.49%
Technology XLK +2.87%
Communication XLC +1.86%
Financials XLF +0.16%
Consumer Discret. XLY +0.10%
Real Estate XLRE -0.51%
Utilities XLU -0.76%
Consumer Staples XLP -1.02%
Industrials XLI -1.08%
Health Care XLV -1.77%
Materials XLB -2.15%

2) Trend & Momentum (Weekly)

Metrik S&P 500 (SPY) Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Russell 2000 (IWM)
Close 754.95 725.51 295.99
Δ WoW 1.37% 1.81% -0.53%
RSI(14) 78.7 75.1 76.9
Δ RSI -1.34% -0.82% -3.47%
MACD 20.56 32.57 12.39
Signal 18.68 29.38 10.89
Δ MACD 0.07% -0.96% -0.47%
vs 10W MA 1.56% 0.94% 2.03%

Divergenzanalyse

S&P 500 (SPY): Kursanstieg bei fallendem RSI → möglicher Momentumverlust / RSI fällt, aber MACD steigt → mögliches Rebound-Signal
Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Kursanstieg bei fallendem RSI → möglicher Momentumverlust

3) Risiko & Sentiment

Metrik Aktuell Vorwoche Δ
Volatility Index (VIX) 15.03 16.15 -6.93
10Y Interest Rate 4.57 4.49 1.87
US Dollar Index (UUP) 28.39 28.34 0.18

4) Fazit

Neutral: Selektiv vorgehen, auf Bestätigungen warten.

5) 📋 Portfolio Trades – letzte Woche

Symbol Unternehmen Muster Entry Exit Entry $ Exit $ P&L $ P&L % Grund
VSH Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. – 2026-04-21 2026-07-11 $26.47 $42.46 +$6,804 +44.5% position_closed_unknown
SANM Sanmina Corporation – 2026-05-09 2026-07-04 $225.00 $235.13 +$679 +4.5% position_closed_unknown
TTMI TTM Technologies, Inc. – 2026-05-09 2026-07-04 $158.81 $181.75 +$2,156 +14.4% position_closed_unknown
NUE Nucor Corporation – 2026-06-06 2026-07-04 $250.60 $232.90 $-1,044 -7.1% position_closed_unknown
GLW Corning Incorporated – 2026-06-29 2026-07-04 $222.72 $233.90 +$660 +5.0% position_closed_unknown

6) 💼 Alpaca Portfolio

Cash
$55,268
Equity
$99,243
Unrealized P&L
+$6,765  (+7.3%)
Positionen
6
STX
20 Stk  ·  Ø $738.18
Aktuell: $910.34
+$3,443    +23.3% ▲
Marktwert: $18,207
ON
180 Stk  ·  Ø $83.14
Aktuell: $95.96
+$2,308    +15.4% ▲
Marktwert: $17,273
AVNS
608 Stk  ·  Ø $24.64
Aktuell: $24.93
+$176    +1.2% ▲
Marktwert: $15,157
ASTH
296 Stk  ·  Ø $44.74
Aktuell: $46.88
+$632    +4.8% ▲
Marktwert: $13,875
NTRA
50 Stk  ·  Ø $269.01
Aktuell: $269.95
+$47    +0.3% ▲
Marktwert: $13,498
QCRH
103 Stk  ·  Ø $94.96
Aktuell: $96.50
+$159    +1.6% ▲
Marktwert: $9,940

7) 📈 Kaufsignale (Blueprint-Regelwerk)

Keine Kaufsignale diese Woche — Kriterien (Score ≥ 6/8 + Vol-Breakout + RS ≥ 70 + Industry Top 50) nicht erfüllt.

Screener-Kandidaten (Score ≥ 6/8) — sortierbar, kein Handelssignal diese Woche:

Ticker Unternehmen Industry Score Muster Close RS ΔRS 4W Dist 52W H % Ind. Rank ATR % Vol-Score MarketCap
(Mio $)		 SA Scheitert an
FINN First National of Nebraska, Inc. Major banks 8 – 19025.00 75 +0 1.42 2 0.77 1.33 5,141 SA MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
BVS Bioventus Inc. Medical specialties 8 – 11.88 85 +25 3.41 4 5.27 1.32 805 SA Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
BZH Beazer Homes USA, Inc. Homebuilding 8 – 31.89 81 +14 1.60 1 4.17 1.43 872 SA Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc. Semiconductors 8 – 78.35 98 +1 12.81 11 12.16 1.84 4,015 SA ATR > 8% · EPS-Q < 20%
PHVS Pharvaris N.V. Pharmaceuticals: major 8 – 35.07 88 +4 4.18 9 4.70 1.86 2,451 SA Rev fehlt · EPS-Q fehlt
WDFC WD-40 Company Industrial specialties 8 – 264.91 67 +31 11.37 7 4.00 1.68 3,555 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
STEL Stellar Bancorp, Inc. Major banks 7 – 39.32 74 +6 2.21 2 1.35 3.99 2,002 SA Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
CRTO Criteo SA Sponsored ADR Repr 1 Sh Advertising/Marketing services 7 – 22.88 42 +26 13.74 10 5.77 2.06 1,150 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
VEON VEON Ltd. Sponsored ADR Wireless telecommunications 7 – 53.30 50 -1 16.72 14 3.25 1.49 3,691 SA MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
CRNX Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Pharmaceuticals: major 7 – 83.58 95 +67 0.21 9 5.31 3.38 8,846 SA EPS-Q < 20%
GUT Gabelli Utility Trust Investment trusts/Mutual funds 7 – 6.85 57 +9 3.11 25 1.94 1.30 614 SA RS < 70 · EPS-Q fehlt
BBIO BridgeBio Pharma, Inc. Biotechnology 7 – 85.89 84 +10 8.06 3 4.29 1.36 16,823 SA EPS-Q < 20%
LEVI Levi Strauss & Co Apparel/Footwear 6 – 24.31 63 -9 4.96 8 4.23 1.67 9,356 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
RCBC River City Bank Regional banks 6 – 43.90 59 +1 12.20 17 0.54 1.41 632 SA RS < 70 · EPS-Q fehlt
WULF TeraWulf Inc. Data processing services 6 – 21.97 97 -0 26.37 5 11.67 1.44 10,887 SA MACD fällt · ATR > 8% · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
AES The AES Corporation Electric utilities 6 – 14.78 46 -13 16.26 16 0.53 1.33 10,540 SA MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%

8) Marktführer nach Minervini (Score 8/8)

FINN  SA 19025.00
First National of Nebraska, Inc.
Major banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 75 ΔRS +0
Rev: -0  EPS: –
Dist 52W H: 1.4%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
BVS  SA 11.88
Bioventus Inc.
Medical specialties
⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +25
Rev: +7  EPS: +127
Dist 52W H: 3.4%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
BZH  SA 31.89
Beazer Homes USA, Inc.
Homebuilding
⭐ 8/8 RS 81 ΔRS +14
Rev: -28  EPS: -1044
Dist 52W H: 1.6%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
PENG  SA 78.35
Penguin Solutions, Inc.
Semiconductors
⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS +1
Rev: +48  EPS: +150
Dist 52W H: 12.8%
❌ ATR > 8% · EPS-Q < 20%
PHVS  SA 35.07
Pharvaris N.V.
Pharmaceuticals: major
⭐ 8/8 RS 88 ΔRS +4
Rev: –  EPS: -11
Dist 52W H: 4.2%
❌ Rev fehlt · EPS-Q fehlt
WDFC  SA 264.91
WD-40 Company
Industrial specialties
⭐ 8/8 RS 67 ΔRS +31
Rev: +11  EPS: +1
Dist 52W H: 11.4%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%