Weekly US Market Report

Report-Woche: 2026-05-16

1) Marktbreite – Vergleich

	Aktuelle Woche	Woche −1	Woche −4
% über 10‑Wochen‑EMA	42.11%	60.63%	74.86%
% über 21‑Wochen‑EMA	45.23%	57.89%	65.13%
% über 50‑Wochen‑MA	50.16%	57.52%	60.63%
Neue 52W‑Hochs (Anzahl)	220	393	444
Neue 52W‑Tiefs (Anzahl)	277	147	18
1W-Kursgewinner (%)	25.43%	51.45%	80.86%
NH/(NH+NL) (%)	44.27%	72.78%	96.10%

1b) Sektor-Performance (Wochenbasis)

Sektor	ETF	Performance Woche
Energy	XLE	+6.71%
Health Care	XLV	+1.12%
Consumer Staples	XLP	+0.55%
Technology	XLK	+0.42%
Financials	XLF	-0.27%
Communication	XLC	-0.74%
Industrials	XLI	-1.04%
Utilities	XLU	-1.90%
Materials	XLB	-2.50%
Real Estate	XLRE	-2.66%
Consumer Discret.	XLY	-3.05%

2) Trend & Momentum (Weekly)

Metrik	S&P 500 (SPY)	Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)	Russell 2000 (IWM)
Close	739.17	708.93	277.60
Δ WoW	0.21%	-0.32%	-2.31%
RSI(14)	63.7	73.4	58.4
Δ RSI	0.80%	3.29%	-8.27%
MACD	15.83	23.40	8.79
Signal	9.89	12.51	6.86
Δ MACD	1.06%	1.58%	-0.20%
vs 10W MA	7.10%	11.79%	5.23%

Divergenzanalyse

Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Kursrückgang bei steigendem RSI → Druck lässt nach

3) Risiko & Sentiment

Metrik	Aktuell	Vorwoche	Δ
Volatility Index (VIX)	18.43	17.19	7.21
10Y Interest Rate	4.59	4.36	5.29
US Dollar Index (UUP)	27.77	27.34	1.57

4) Fazit

Neutral: Selektiv vorgehen, auf Bestätigungen warten.

6) 💼 Alpaca Portfolio

Cash $21,769

Equity $108,808

Unrealized P&L +$12,264  (+12.7%)

Positionen 11

VSH 578 Stk  ·  Ø $26.47 Aktuell: $37.23 +$6,219    +40.6% ▲ Marktwert: $21,519	ON 180 Stk  ·  Ø $83.14 Aktuell: $113.11 +$5,395    +36.0% ▲ Marktwert: $20,360
CRDO 93 Stk  ·  Ø $162.48 Aktuell: $172.17 +$901    +6.0% ▲ Marktwert: $16,012	STX 20 Stk  ·  Ø $738.18 Aktuell: $795.47 +$1,146    +7.8% ▲ Marktwert: $15,909
SANM 67 Stk  ·  Ø $225.00 Aktuell: $235.34 +$693    +4.6% ▲ Marktwert: $15,768	TTMI 94 Stk  ·  Ø $158.81 Aktuell: $167.35 +$803    +5.4% ▲ Marktwert: $15,731
AVNS 608 Stk  ·  Ø $24.64 Aktuell: $24.71 +$43    +0.3% ▲ Marktwert: $15,024	KALU 84 Stk  ·  Ø $180.88 Aktuell: $169.29 $-974    -6.4% ▼ Marktwert: $14,220
CYTK 176 Stk  ·  Ø $78.49 Aktuell: $75.85 $-465    -3.4% ▼ Marktwert: $13,350	AAON 97 Stk  ·  Ø $140.00 Aktuell: $135.49 $-437    -3.2% ▼ Marktwert: $13,143
MU 18 Stk  ·  Ø $783.49 Aktuell: $724.66 $-1,059    -7.5% ▼ Marktwert: $13,044

7) 📈 Kaufsignale (Blueprint-Regelwerk)

Marktfilter: S&P 500 10W EMA > 20W EMA ✅  | Marktbreite: 100.0% über 200d ✅  |  Position: 15.0% des Kapitals (15,000 €/$)  |  Kelly-Fraction: 1/3  |  Signale gesamt: 2  | Alpaca Cash: $21,769  | Offen (11): AAON, AVNS, CRDO, CYTK, KALU, MU, ON, SANM, STX, TTMI, VSH

Rang	Ticker	Unternehmen	Sektor / Branche	Muster	Entry	Buy-Stop	Max. Gap	Stop-Loss	Stop %	BO-Level	Dist 52W H	RS	ΔRS 4W	Industry Rank	ROE %	Op.Margin	EPS Growth Q	Rev. Growth	Vol Score	Position	Risiko / Equity
🏆 1	SKYT	SkyWater Technology, Inc.	Technology Industrial machinery	–	34.72	34.75	36.46	31.25	10.0%	–	4.6%	96	-0	15	95.8%	-3.3%	1500%	162.1%	1.51	15.0%	1.5%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 4.5% <8%
2	GHM	Graham Corporation	Industrials Industrial machinery	–	98.28	98.38	103.19	88.45	10.0%	–	5.1%	92	-1	15	12.1%	7.0%	79%	20.5%	1.37	15.0%	1.5%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 5.2% <8%

Ranking-Score = RS(35%) + ΔRS 4W(20%) + Muster(20%) + Tightness(15%) + Industry(10%). 🏆 = Top-1 Kaufkandidaten. 🔵 Buy-Stop = Einstiegsorder (max(Entry, Pivot) +0.1%)  |  🔴 Max. Gap = Order verwerfen wenn Montag-Open über diesem Preis (Pivot +5%)  |  🟢/🔴 Scorecard = Minervini-Kriterien  |  Rot hinterlegt = Risiko/Equity > 1.8%.

8) Marktführer nach Minervini (Score 8/8)

HLIO  SA 77.03 Helios Technologies, Inc. Industrial machinery ⭐ 8/8 RS 90 ΔRS +0 Rev: +17  EPS: +83 Dist 52W H: 3.7% ❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20%	KGS  SA 73.49 Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. Oilfield services/Equipment ⭐ 8/8 RS 91 ΔRS +3 Rev: +5  EPS: +307 Dist 52W H: 4.2% ❌ Rev < 20%
GHM  SA 98.28 Graham Corporation Industrial machinery ⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS -1 Rev: +20  EPS: +47 Dist 52W H: 5.1% ✅ Kaufkandidat	CYD  SA 50.00 China Yuchai International Limited Auto parts: OEM ⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS +4 Rev: +23  EPS: +58 Dist 52W H: 11.6% ❌ MACD fällt · EPS-Q fehlt
DCO  SA 143.75 Ducommun Incorporated Aerospace & defense ⭐ 8/8 RS 89 ΔRS -0 Rev: +9  EPS: -400 Dist 52W H: 8.0% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	NBIS  SA 219.94 Nebius Group N.V. Packaged software ⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS +0 Rev: +622  EPS: -102 Dist 52W H: 5.9% ❌ Rank > 50 · ATR > 8%
HIMX  SA 19.06 Himax Technologies, Inc. Sponsored ADR Semiconductors ⭐ 8/8 RS 95 ΔRS +18 Rev: -8  EPS: +426 Dist 52W H: 12.6% ❌ ATR > 8% · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	UTI  SA 39.56 Universal Technical Institute Inc Miscellaneous commercial services ⭐ 8/8 RS 72 ΔRS +4 Rev: +7  EPS: +22 Dist 52W H: 4.7% ❌ Rank > 50 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
SNDR  SA 31.94 Schneider National, Inc. Trucking ⭐ 8/8 RS 75 ΔRS +12 Rev: -0  EPS: +169 Dist 52W H: 4.2% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	JBHT  SA 262.21 J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Trucking ⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +1 Rev: +5  EPS: +40 Dist 52W H: 0.4% ❌ Rev < 20%
NOVT  SA 152.99 Novanta Inc. Electronic equipment/Instruments ⭐ 8/8 RS 69 ΔRS +20 Rev: +10  EPS: +198 Dist 52W H: 7.6% ❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	SFL  SA 12.48 SFL Corporation Ltd Marine shipping ⭐ 8/8 RS 80 ΔRS +2 Rev: -7  EPS: +100 Dist 52W H: 3.5% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
TWO  SA 12.60 Two Harbors Investment Corp. Real estate investment trusts ⭐ 8/8 RS 62 ΔRS +30 Rev: +1569  EPS: -130 Dist 52W H: 11.1% ❌ RS < 70 · EPS-Q < 20%	NXT  SA 144.29 Nextpower Inc. Electronic equipment/Instruments ⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS +2 Rev: -5  EPS: +21 Dist 52W H: 8.0% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
PACS  SA 37.48 PACS Group, Inc. Hospital/Nursing management ⭐ 8/8 RS 96 ΔRS +0 Rev: +11  EPS: +63 Dist 52W H: 13.0% ❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt	BW  SA 21.85 Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. Electronic equipment/Instruments ⭐ 8/8 RS 99 ΔRS -0 Rev: +38  EPS: -159 Dist 52W H: 0.8% ❌ ATR > 8% · EPS-Q < 20%
LINC  SA 49.10 Lincoln Educational Services Corporation Miscellaneous commercial services ⭐ 8/8 RS 94 ΔRS +2 Rev: +22  EPS: +52 Dist 52W H: 8.2% ❌ Rank > 50	ENS  SA 236.98 EnerSys Electrical products ⭐ 8/8 RS 91 ΔRS +2 Rev: +1  EPS: +46 Dist 52W H: 1.1% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
ARMK  SA 53.08 Aramark Restaurants ⭐ 8/8 RS 78 ΔRS +13 Rev: +15  EPS: +100 Dist 52W H: 0.9% ❌ Rank > 50 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	ACLX  SA 115.07 Arcellx, Inc. Biotechnology ⭐ 8/8 RS 86 ΔRS +2 Rev: -89  EPS: -57 Dist 52W H: 0.1% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
SKYT  SA 34.72 SkyWater Technology, Inc. Industrial machinery ⭐ 8/8 RS 96 ΔRS -0 Rev: +162  EPS: -109 Dist 52W H: 4.6% ✅ Kaufkandidat	PLSE  SA 24.55 Pulse Biosciences, Inc Medical specialties ⭐ 8/8 RS 82 ΔRS +6 Rev: –  EPS: -20 Dist 52W H: 12.3% ❌ Rank > 50 · Rev fehlt · EPS-Q < 20%
PBT  SA 29.01 Permian Basin Royalty Trust Investment trusts/Mutual funds ⭐ 8/8 RS 93 ΔRS +7 Rev: +16  EPS: – Dist 52W H: 1.3% ❌ Rank > 50 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt	BWA  SA 63.21 BorgWarner Inc. Trucks/Construction/Farm machinery ⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +0 Rev: +0  EPS: +240 Dist 52W H: 10.1% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
ORA  SA 131.52 Ormat Technologies, Inc. Electric utilities ⭐ 8/8 RS 83 ΔRS +15 Rev: +76  EPS: +20 Dist 52W H: 5.0% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%	JHG  SA 51.72 Janus Henderson Group plc Investment managers ⭐ 8/8 RS 70 ΔRS -3 Rev: +11  EPS: -6 Dist 52W H: 3.8% ❌ MACD fällt · Rank > 50 · Rev < 20%
VSTS  SA 12.25 Vestis Corporation Apparel/Footwear ⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS +11 Rev: -1  EPS: -601 Dist 52W H: 2.8% ❌ Rank > 50 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	SUN  SA 71.16 Sunoco LP Wholesale distributors ⭐ 8/8 RS 74 ΔRS +24 Rev: +106  EPS: -20 Dist 52W H: 0.7% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%
CMP  SA 29.35 Compass Minerals Intl Inc Chemicals: specialty ⭐ 8/8 RS 82 ΔRS -4 Rev: -8  EPS: +591 Dist 52W H: 9.4% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	ADEA  SA 29.89 Adeia Inc. Packaged software ⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS +2 Rev: +20  EPS: +42 Dist 52W H: 13.0% ❌ Rank > 50 · Rev < 20%
KNX  SA 69.06 Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Trucking ⭐ 8/8 RS 81 ΔRS +3 Rev: +1  EPS: +1438 Dist 52W H: 0.4% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	CLBK  SA 19.57 Columbia Financial, Inc. Savings banks ⭐ 8/8 RS 71 ΔRS +2 Rev: +18  EPS: +42 Dist 52W H: 0.9% ❌ Rev < 20%
TERN  SA 52.95 Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Biotechnology ⭐ 8/8 RS 99 ΔRS +0 Rev: –  EPS: +51 📐 Launchpad Dist 52W H: 0.5% ❌ MACD fällt · Rev fehlt · EPS-Q < 20%	AIP  SA 33.71 Arteris, Inc. Semiconductors ⭐ 8/8 RS 97 ΔRS +2 Rev: +39  EPS: -120 Dist 52W H: 12.4% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%
CSCO  SA 118.21 Cisco Systems, Inc. Telecommunications equipment ⭐ 8/8 RS 89 ΔRS +17 Rev: +12  EPS: +58 Dist 52W H: 1.0% ❌ Rev < 20%	FIHL  SA 23.16 Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited Multi-line insurance ⭐ 8/8 RS 74 ΔRS +15 Rev: -11  EPS: +87 Dist 52W H: 1.9% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
MSGE  SA 68.33 Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Movies/Entertainment ⭐ 8/8 RS 84 ΔRS +0 Rev: +2  EPS: +146 Dist 52W H: 2.2% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	CMPR  SA 94.20 Cimpress plc Commercial printing/Forms ⭐ 8/8 RS 88 ΔRS +8 Rev: +12  EPS: +208 Dist 52W H: 1.9% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
ACMR  SA 63.67 ACM Research, Inc. Industrial machinery ⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS +4 Rev: +34  EPS: +72 Dist 52W H: 11.1% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%	SDRL  SA 52.70 Seadrill Limited Contract drilling ⭐ 8/8 RS 90 ΔRS +0 Rev: +9  EPS: -416 Dist 52W H: 0.3% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
ATRO  SA 78.59 Astronics Corporation Aerospace & defense ⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS -2 Rev: +12  EPS: +161 Dist 52W H: 6.4% ❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	CSGS  SA 80.69 CSG Systems International, Inc. Data processing services ⭐ 8/8 RS 61 ΔRS -2 Rev: +5  EPS: +140 Dist 52W H: 0.1% ❌ MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
AMAT  SA 436.62 Applied Materials, Inc. Industrial machinery ⭐ 8/8 RS 93 ΔRS +0 Rev: +11  EPS: +50 Dist 52W H: 2.6% ❌ Rev < 20%	LQDA  SA 56.93 Liquidia Corporation Pharmaceuticals: major ⭐ 8/8 RS 95 ΔRS +2 Rev: +4158  EPS: +3178 Dist 52W H: 4.7% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%
MCW  SA 7.10 Mister Car Wash, Inc. Other consumer services ⭐ 8/8 RS 58 ΔRS +5 Rev: +6  EPS: +64 Dist 52W H: 7.7% ❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%	VSH  SA 37.23 Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. Electronic production equipment ⭐ 8/8 RS 95 ΔRS +6 Rev: +17  EPS: +13915 Dist 52W H: 7.1% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
BCRX  SA 9.02 BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Biotechnology ⭐ 8/8 RS 57 ΔRS -12 Rev: +8  EPS: -138 Dist 52W H: 20.2% ❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	PLUG  SA 3.78 Plug Power, Inc. Electronic production equipment ⭐ 8/8 RS 97 ΔRS +8 Rev: +22  EPS: -87 Dist 52W H: 17.5% ❌ ATR > 8% · Kurs < $5 · EPS-Q fehlt
VIK  SA 83.70 Viking Holdings Ltd Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines ⭐ 8/8 RS 84 ΔRS -2 Rev: +18  EPS: +55 Dist 52W H: 9.0% ❌ Rev < 20%	HPE  SA 33.10 Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company Computer processing hardware ⭐ 8/8 RS 86 ΔRS +10 Rev: +18  EPS: -1703 Dist 52W H: 4.6% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
SEDG  SA 61.76 SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. Electrical products ⭐ 8/8 RS 95 ΔRS +5 Rev: +42  EPS: -126 Dist 52W H: 2.8% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%