Weekly US Market Report

Report-Woche: 2026-05-23

🟢 Marktampel: Bullish  (5/6)
Marktampel-Kriterien
SPY über 10W MA +6.75%
QQQ über 10W MA +10.98%
Marktbreite >55% über 10W EMA 54.2%
Wochenkursgewinner >55% 68.9%
New Highs > New Lows NH=273, NL=64
SPY MACD-Momentum positiv +0.6730

1) Marktbreite – Vergleich

Aktuelle Woche Woche −1 Woche −4
% über 10‑Wochen‑EMA 54.20% 42.07% 64.35%
% über 21‑Wochen‑EMA 53.72% 45.40% 58.48%
% über 50‑Wochen‑MA 54.38% 50.09% 57.57%
Neue 52W‑Hochs (Anzahl) 273 218 326
Neue 52W‑Tiefs (Anzahl) 64 278 55
1W-Kursgewinner (%) 68.89% 25.50% 38.33%
NH/(NH+NL) (%) 81.01% 43.95% 85.56%

1b) Sektor-Performance (Wochenbasis)

Sektor ETF Performance Woche
Utilities XLU +3.37%
Health Care XLV +3.30%
Real Estate XLRE +3.08%
Technology XLK +2.34%
Consumer Discret. XLY +2.27%
Financials XLF +1.64%
Industrials XLI +0.22%
Consumer Staples XLP +0.19%
Energy XLE +0.08%
Materials XLB -0.02%
Communication XLC -0.53%

2) Trend & Momentum (Weekly)

Metrik S&P 500 (SPY) Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Russell 2000 (IWM)
Close 745.64 717.54 285.12
Δ WoW 0.88% 1.21% 2.71%
RSI(14) 68.3 77.2 63.8
Δ RSI 4.58% 3.74% 5.41%
MACD 18.16 27.19 9.51
Signal 11.54 15.45 7.39
Δ MACD 0.67% 0.86% 0.19%
vs 10W MA 6.75% 10.98% 6.53%

Divergenzanalyse

Keine auffälligen Divergenzen erkannt.

3) Risiko & Sentiment

Metrik Aktuell Vorwoche Δ
Volatility Index (VIX) 16.70 18.43 -9.39
10Y Interest Rate 4.56 4.59 -0.81
US Dollar Index (UUP) 27.77 27.77 0.00

4) Fazit

Akkumulationsmodus: Übergewichtung zulässig, selektiv zukaufen.

6) 💼 Alpaca Portfolio

Cash
$37,725
Equity
$115,947
Unrealized P&L
+$24,079  (+26.2%)
Positionen
9
VSH
578 Stk  ·  Ø $26.47
Aktuell: $47.25
+$12,011    +78.5% ▲
Marktwert: $27,310
ON
180 Stk  ·  Ø $83.14
Aktuell: $116.20
+$5,951    +39.8% ▲
Marktwert: $20,916
TTMI
94 Stk  ·  Ø $158.81
Aktuell: $189.92
+$2,924    +19.6% ▲
Marktwert: $17,852
SANM
67 Stk  ·  Ø $225.00
Aktuell: $246.44
+$1,436    +9.5% ▲
Marktwert: $16,511
STX
20 Stk  ·  Ø $738.18
Aktuell: $812.73
+$1,491    +10.1% ▲
Marktwert: $16,255
SKYT
431 Stk  ·  Ø $34.70
Aktuell: $37.21
+$1,081    +7.2% ▲
Marktwert: $16,038
AVNS
608 Stk  ·  Ø $24.64
Aktuell: $24.61
$-18    -0.1% ▼
Marktwert: $14,963
CYTK
176 Stk  ·  Ø $78.49
Aktuell: $76.94
$-273    -2.0% ▼
Marktwert: $13,541
AAON
97 Stk  ·  Ø $140.00
Aktuell: $134.60
$-524    -3.9% ▼
Marktwert: $13,056

7) 📈 Kaufsignale (Blueprint-Regelwerk)

Marktfilter: S&P 500 10W EMA > 20W EMA ✅  | Marktbreite: 100.0% über 200d ✅  |  Position: 15.0% des Kapitals (12,575 €/$)  |  Kelly-Fraction: 1/3  |  Signale gesamt: 3  | Alpaca Cash: $37,725  | Offen (9): AAON, AVNS, CYTK, ON, SANM, SKYT, STX, TTMI, VSH

Rang Ticker Unternehmen Sektor / Branche Muster Entry Buy-Stop Max. Gap Stop-Loss Stop % BO-Level Dist 52W H RS ΔRS 4W Industry
Rank
ROE % Op.Margin EPS Growth Q Rev. Growth Vol Score Position Risiko / Equity
🏆 1 HLIT Harmonic Inc. Technology
Telecommunications equipment
15.20 15.22 15.96 13.68 10.0% 1.2% 85 +36 5 2.1% 16.8% 40% 43.4% 1.48 15.0% 1.26%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 5.9% <8%
🏆 2 KURA Kura Oncology, Inc. Healthcare
Biotechnology
11.25 11.26 11.81 10.12 10.0% 9.9% 81 +15 16 -124.7% -431.5% 26% 29.5% 1.79 15.0% 1.26%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ❌ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 5.4% <8%
🏆 3 LPG Dorian LPG Ltd. Energy
Marine shipping
46.46 46.51 48.78 41.81 10.0% 3.4% 89 +6 22 17.7% 54.8% 900% 106.9% 1.72 15.0% 1.26%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 4.0% <8%

Ranking-Score = RS(35%) + ΔRS 4W(20%) + Muster(20%) + Tightness(15%) + Industry(10%). 🏆 = Top-3 Kaufkandidaten. 🔵 Buy-Stop = Einstiegsorder (max(Entry, Pivot) +0.1%)  |  🔴 Max. Gap = Order verwerfen wenn Montag-Open über diesem Preis (Pivot +5%)  |  🟢/🔴 Scorecard = Minervini-Kriterien  |  Rot hinterlegt = Risiko/Equity > 1.8%.

8) Marktführer nach Minervini (Score 8/8)

TK  SA 13.34
Teekay Corporation Ltd.
Marine shipping
⭐ 8/8 RS 77 ΔRS -8
Rev: +24  EPS: -62
Dist 52W H: 7.2%
❌ EPS-Q fehlt
IMVT  SA 34.15
Immunovant, Inc.
Biotechnology
⭐ 8/8 RS 90 ΔRS +5
Rev: –  EPS: -13
Dist 52W H: 5.9%
❌ Rev fehlt · EPS-Q < 20%
RL  SA 377.78
Ralph Lauren Corporation
Apparel/Footwear
⭐ 8/8 RS 67 ΔRS -9
Rev: –  EPS: –
Dist 52W H: 4.0%
❌ MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev fehlt · EPS-Q fehlt
GHRS  SA 22.12
GH Research PLC
Pharmaceuticals: major
⭐ 8/8 RS 86 ΔRS -1
Rev: –  EPS: +120
Dist 52W H: 10.3%
❌ Rev fehlt
BAP  SA 334.30
Credicorp Ltd.
Major banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 78 ΔRS +1
Rev: +26  EPS: +27
Dist 52W H: 12.1%
❌ MACD fällt · EPS-Q < 20%
RLAY  SA 13.53
Relay Therapeutics, Inc.
Biotechnology
⭐ 8/8 RS 97 ΔRS -0
Rev: -61  EPS: +11
Dist 52W H: 21.9%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
BURL  SA 324.51
Burlington Stores, Inc.
Apparel/Footwear retail
⭐ 8/8 RS 62 ΔRS -12
Rev: +11  EPS: +42
Dist 52W H: 7.8%
❌ MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
DAO  SA 12.96
Youdao, Inc. Sponsored ADR Class A
Internet software/Services
⭐ 8/8 RS 76 ΔRS +22
Rev: +17  EPS: +338
Dist 52W H: 1.1%
❌ ATR > 8% · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
OLPX  SA 2.05
Olaplex Holdings, Inc.
Household/Personal care
⭐ 8/8 RS 87 ΔRS +4
Rev: +2  EPS: -597
Dist 52W H: 0.0%
❌ Rank > 50 · Kurs < $5 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
ROIV  SA 29.96
Roivant Sciences Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals: major
⭐ 8/8 RS 92 ΔRS +1
Rev: -67  EPS: +189
Dist 52W H: 8.6%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
LPG  SA 46.46
Dorian LPG Ltd.
Marine shipping
⭐ 8/8 RS 89 ΔRS +6
Rev: +107  EPS: -44
Dist 52W H: 3.5%
✅ Kaufkandidat
VIK  SA 84.23
Viking Holdings Ltd
Hotels/Resorts/Cruise lines
⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS -0
Rev: +18  EPS: +61
Dist 52W H: 8.4%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
NDSN  SA 289.90
Nordson Corporation
Industrial machinery
⭐ 8/8 RS 73 ΔRS +0
Rev: +8  EPS: +32
Dist 52W H: 5.0%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
VSAT  SA 74.56
ViaSat, Inc.
Telecommunications equipment
⭐ 8/8 RS 98 ΔRS +0
Rev: +3  EPS: -111
Dist 52W H: 4.1%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
HLIT  SA 15.20
Harmonic Inc.
Telecommunications equipment
⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +36
Rev: +43  EPS: +872
Dist 52W H: 1.2%
✅ Kaufkandidat
MDU  SA 22.16
MDU Resources Group, Inc.
Gas distributors
⭐ 8/8 RS 63 ΔRS +2
Rev: -10  EPS: +14
Dist 52W H: 3.6%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
FRO  SA 37.12
Frontline Plc
Marine shipping
⭐ 8/8 RS 87 ΔRS -2
Rev: +67  EPS: -24
Dist 52W H: 6.9%
✅ Kaufkandidat
WBS  SA 71.80
Webster Financial Corporation
Savings banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 71 ΔRS -4
Rev: +9  EPS: +20
Dist 52W H: 3.0%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
RDW  SA 17.49
Redwire Corporation
Aerospace & defense
⭐ 8/8 RS 93 ΔRS +58
Rev: +58  EPS: -84
Dist 52W H: 21.4%
❌ ATR > 8%
INVX  SA 30.05
Innovex International, Inc.
Oilfield services/Equipment
⭐ 8/8 RS 87 ΔRS +5
Rev: -1  EPS: +148
Dist 52W H: 6.8%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
UTI  SA 40.06
Universal Technical Institute Inc
Miscellaneous commercial services
⭐ 8/8 RS 66 ΔRS +4
Rev: +7  EPS: +22
Dist 52W H: 3.5%
❌ RS < 70 · Rank > 50 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
BFC  SA 141.87
Bank First Corporation
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 59 ΔRS -0
Rev: +49  EPS: +54
Dist 52W H: 7.3%
❌ MACD fällt · RS < 70 · EPS-Q < 20%
ARCO  SA 8.75
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.
Restaurants
⭐ 8/8 RS 56 ΔRS -9
Rev: +13  EPS: -22
Dist 52W H: 10.3%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
NVRI  SA 19.60
Enviri Corporation
Environmental services
⭐ 8/8 RS 90 ΔRS -2
Rev: +0  EPS: -81
Dist 52W H: 1.9%
❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
RAMP  SA 37.70
LiveRamp Holdings, Inc.
Packaged software
⭐ 8/8 RS 76 ΔRS +27
Rev: +9  EPS: +47
Dist 52W H: 0.6%
❌ Rank > 50 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
CYD  SA 57.35
China Yuchai International Limited
Auto parts: OEM
⭐ 8/8 RS 94 ΔRS +4
Rev: +23  EPS: +87
Dist 52W H: 3.5%
❌ EPS-Q fehlt
CTO  SA 20.38
CTO Realty Growth Inc
Real estate investment trusts
⭐ 8/8 RS 54 ΔRS +3
Rev: +15  EPS: -45
Dist 52W H: 2.5%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
CSGS  SA 80.69
CSG Systems International, Inc.
Data processing services
⭐ 8/8 RS 54 ΔRS -12
Rev: +5  EPS: +140
Dist 52W H: 0.1%
❌ MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev < 20%
BELFA  SA 252.34
Bel Fuse Inc.
Electronic components
⭐ 8/8 RS 96 ΔRS -0
Rev: +17  EPS: +125
Dist 52W H: 8.6%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
TGT  SA 125.60
Target Corporation
Specialty stores
⭐ 8/8 RS 73 ΔRS -0
Rev: +7  EPS: +17
Dist 52W H: 5.6%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
SEM  SA 16.52
Select Medical Holdings Corporation
Hospital/Nursing management
⭐ 8/8 RS 60 ΔRS +17
Rev: +5  EPS: +28
Dist 52W H: 2.8%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
CMPR  SA 102.39
Cimpress plc
Commercial printing/Forms
⭐ 8/8 RS 90 ΔRS +8
Rev: +12  EPS: +208
Dist 52W H: 2.4%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%