Weekly US Market Report

Report-Woche: 2026-07-18

🔴 Marktampel: Defensiv (2/6)

1) Marktbreite – Vergleich

	Aktuelle Woche	Woche −1	Woche −4
% über 10‑Wochen‑EMA	60.43%	63.37%	55.25%
% über 21‑Wochen‑EMA	62.32%	63.63%	55.40%
% über 50‑Wochen‑MA	60.87%	60.73%	56.77%
Neue 52W‑Hochs (Anzahl)	350	210	282
Neue 52W‑Tiefs (Anzahl)	93	81	154
1W-Kursgewinner (%)	53.35%	42.64%	43.12%
NH/(NH+NL) (%)	79.01%	72.16%	64.68%

1b) Sektor-Performance (Wochenbasis)

Sektor	ETF	Performance Woche
Energy	XLE	+4.72%
Real Estate	XLRE	+2.18%
Consumer Staples	XLP	+1.27%
Financials	XLF	+0.99%
Health Care	XLV	+0.16%
Utilities	XLU	-0.53%
Materials	XLB	-0.71%
Communication	XLC	-0.89%
Industrials	XLI	-1.38%
Consumer Discret.	XLY	-1.54%
Technology	XLK	-5.48%

2) Trend & Momentum (Weekly)

Metrik	S&P 500 (SPY)	Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)	Russell 2000 (IWM)
Close	743.29	695.33	294.04
Δ WoW	-1.54%	-4.16%	-0.66%
RSI(14)	69.9	64.8	71.8
Δ RSI	-8.85%	-10.27%	-5.08%
MACD	19.82	29.67	12.02
Signal	18.91	29.43	11.12
Δ MACD	-0.97%	-2.96%	-0.60%
vs 10W MA	-0.09%	-3.05%	1.02%

Divergenzanalyse

Keine auffälligen Divergenzen erkannt.

3) Risiko & Sentiment

Metrik	Aktuell	Vorwoche	Δ
Volatility Index (VIX)	18.77	15.03	24.88
10Y Interest Rate	4.54	4.57	-0.61
US Dollar Index (UUP)	28.33	28.39	-0.21

4) Fazit

Neutral: Selektiv vorgehen, auf Bestätigungen warten.

5) 📋 Portfolio Trades – letzte Woche

Symbol	Unternehmen	Muster	Entry	Exit	Entry $	Exit $	P&L $	P&L %	Grund
ON	ON Semiconductor Corporation	–	2026-04-21	2026-07-18	$83.14	$93.47	+$1,860	+12.4%	position_closed_unknown
STX	Seagate Technology Holdings PLC	–	2026-05-09	2026-07-18	$738.18	$876.66	+$2,770	+18.8%	position_closed_unknown
VSH	Vishay Intertechnology, Inc.	–	2026-04-21	2026-07-11	$26.47	$42.46	+$6,804	+44.5%	position_closed_unknown

6) 💼 Alpaca Portfolio

Cash

$66,809

Equity

$92,914

Unrealized P&L

+$754 (+0.8%)

Positionen

AVNS 608 Stk · Ø $24.64 Aktuell: $24.97 +$201 +1.3% ▲ Marktwert: $15,182	NTRA 50 Stk · Ø $269.01 Aktuell: $271.39 +$119 +0.9% ▲ Marktwert: $13,570
ASTH 296 Stk · Ø $44.74 Aktuell: $44.94 +$59 +0.4% ▲ Marktwert: $13,302	QCRH 103 Stk · Ø $94.96 Aktuell: $98.60 +$375 +3.8% ▲ Marktwert: $10,156

7) 📈 Kaufsignale (Blueprint-Regelwerk)

Rang	Ticker	Unternehmen	Sektor / Branche	Muster	Entry	Buy-Stop	Max. Gap	Stop-Loss	Stop %	BO-Level	Dist 52W H	RS	ΔRS 4W	Industry Rank	ROE %	Op.Margin	EPS Growth Q	Rev. Growth	Vol Score	Position	Risiko / Equity
🏆 1	SUN	Sunoco LP	Energy Wholesale distributors	–	74.00	74.07	77.70	66.60	10.0%	–	0.4%	76	+19	21	15.4%	8.1%	136%	106.4%	1.30	15.0%	1.5%
✅ SMA10W steigend ✅ SMA30W steigend ✅ SMA40W steigend ✅ MA-Ordnung 10>30>40 ✅ 52W Range OK ✅ RS-Trend ↑ ✅ Vol-Breakout ✅ Close > Vorwoche ✅ ATR 2.4% <8%

Ranking-Score = RS(35%) + ΔRS 4W(20%) + Muster(20%) + Tightness(15%) + Industry(10%). 🏆 = Top-1 Kaufkandidaten. 🔵 Buy-Stop = Einstiegsorder (max(Entry, Pivot) +0.1%) | 🔴 Max. Gap = Order verwerfen wenn Montag-Open über diesem Preis (Pivot +5%) | 🟢/🔴 Scorecard = Minervini-Kriterien | Rot hinterlegt = Risiko/Equity > 1.8%.

8) Marktführer nach Minervini (Score 8/8)

TCBK SA 60.52 TriCo Bancshares Regional banks ⭐ 8/8 RS 77 ΔRS +16 Rev: +11 EPS: +10 Dist 52W H: 1.9% ❌ Rev < 20%	KARO SA 62.69 Karooooo Ltd. Packaged software ⭐ 8/8 RS 74 ΔRS +37 Rev: +22 EPS: +47 Dist 52W H: 5.3% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%
SNDR SA 38.19 Schneider National, Inc. Trucking ⭐ 8/8 RS 82 ΔRS +2 Rev: -0 EPS: +201 Dist 52W H: 2.8% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	CPRX SA 31.49 Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Pharmaceuticals: major ⭐ 8/8 RS 81 ΔRS +6 Rev: +6 EPS: +101 Dist 52W H: 3.3% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
CHEF SA 97.09 The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. Food distributors ⭐ 8/8 RS 86 ΔRS +3 Rev: +11 EPS: +54 Dist 52W H: 5.6% ❌ Rev < 20%	ALPIB SA 49.24 Alpine Banks of Colorado Savings banks ⭐ 8/8 RS 83 ΔRS +5 Rev: +20 EPS: – Dist 52W H: 0.5% ❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20%
CLMT SA 42.83 Calumet, Inc Oil refining/Marketing ⭐ 8/8 RS 96 ΔRS +9 Rev: +4 EPS: -119 Dist 52W H: 0.3% ❌ Rev < 20%	CLBK SA 23.42 Columbia Financial, Inc. Savings banks ⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +13 Rev: +18 EPS: +39 Dist 52W H: 2.8% ❌ Rev < 20%
MAN SA 52.34 ManpowerGroup Personnel services ⭐ 8/8 RS 84 ΔRS +46 Rev: +10 EPS: +116 Dist 52W H: 6.0% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	SUN SA 74.00 Sunoco LP Wholesale distributors ⭐ 8/8 RS 76 ΔRS +19 Rev: +106 EPS: -20 Dist 52W H: 0.4% ✅ Kaufkandidat
BV SA 14.52 BrightView Holdings, Inc. Miscellaneous commercial services ⭐ 8/8 RS 43 ΔRS +13 Rev: +6 EPS: +2310 Dist 52W H: 12.1% ❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%	GSBC SA 78.25 Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. Regional banks ⭐ 8/8 RS 72 ΔRS +5 Rev: -4 EPS: -4 Dist 52W H: 5.0% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
IOVA SA 5.00 Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. Biotechnology ⭐ 8/8 RS 95 ΔRS +7 Rev: +45 EPS: -68 Dist 52W H: 11.2% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%	CDNA SA 39.73 CareDx, Inc. Medical specialties ⭐ 8/8 RS 94 ΔRS +18 Rev: +39 EPS: -809 Dist 52W H: 1.8% ❌ EPS-Q < 20%
GHRS SA 28.71 GH Research PLC Pharmaceuticals: major ⭐ 8/8 RS 89 ΔRS +1 Rev: – EPS: +122 Dist 52W H: 7.4% ❌ Rev fehlt · EPS-Q fehlt	EEX SA 5.04 Emerald Holding, Inc. Miscellaneous commercial services ⭐ 8/8 RS 40 ΔRS -19 Rev: +5 EPS: -253 Dist 52W H: 7.5% ❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
FNB SA 19.16 F.N.B. Corporation Major banks ⭐ 8/8 RS 61 ΔRS -1 Rev: +7 EPS: +22 Dist 52W H: 2.2% ❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%	FMCB SA 1330.01 Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Regional banks ⭐ 8/8 RS 70 ΔRS +2 Rev: +6 EPS: -98 Dist 52W H: 5.2% ❌ MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
BIIB SA 205.99 Biogen Inc. Pharmaceuticals: major ⭐ 8/8 RS 81 ΔRS +7 Rev: +2 EPS: +80 Dist 52W H: 6.2% ❌ Rev < 20%	KFRC SA 58.56 Kforce, Inc. Personnel services ⭐ 8/8 RS 88 ΔRS +13 Rev: +0 EPS: +49 Dist 52W H: 3.5% ❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
JBHT SA 291.41 J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Trucking ⭐ 8/8 RS 88 ΔRS +2 Rev: +19 EPS: +47 Dist 52W H: 2.8% ❌ Rev < 20%	FHN SA 25.80 First Horizon Corporation Regional banks ⭐ 8/8 RS 56 ΔRS -5 Rev: +7 EPS: +14 Dist 52W H: 2.9% ❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20%

❌	SPY über 10W MA	-0.09%
❌	QQQ über 10W MA	-3.05%
✅	Marktbreite >55% über 10W EMA	60.4%
❌	Wochenkursgewinner >55%	53.4%
✅	New Highs > New Lows	NH=350, NL=93
❌	SPY MACD-Momentum positiv	-0.9682