⚠️ TEST-MODUS — Keine Orders wurden platziert oder storniert

Weekly US Market Report

Report-Woche: 2026-07-28

🟡 Marktampel: Neutral  (3/6)
Marktampel-Kriterien
❌ SPY über 10W MA -0.51%
❌ QQQ über 10W MA -5.05%
✅ Marktbreite >55% über 10W EMA 62.4%
✅ Wochenkursgewinner >55% 66.2%
✅ New Highs > New Lows NH=324, NL=49
❌ SPY MACD-Momentum positiv -0.8192

1) Marktbreite – Vergleich

Aktuelle Woche Woche −1 Woche −4
% über 10‑Wochen‑EMA 62.44% 51.36% 65.19%
% über 21‑Wochen‑EMA 61.62% 56.38% 64.30%
% über 50‑Wochen‑MA 61.92% 57.46% 61.91%
Neue 52W‑Hochs (Anzahl) 324 142 359
Neue 52W‑Tiefs (Anzahl) 49 133 62
1W-Kursgewinner (%) 66.23% 33.06% 57.82%
NH/(NH+NL) (%) 86.86% 51.64% 85.27%

1b) Sektor-Performance (Wochenbasis)

Sektor ETF Performance Woche
Consumer Staples XLP +6.22%
Communication XLC +3.74%
Real Estate XLRE +3.08%
Health Care XLV +2.92%
Consumer Discret. XLY +2.85%
Materials XLB +2.41%
Financials XLF +1.62%
Utilities XLU -0.17%
Industrials XLI -0.25%
Energy XLE -2.22%
Technology XLK -3.18%

2) Trend & Momentum (Weekly)

Metrik S&P 500 (SPY) Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Russell 2000 (IWM)
Close 739.49 674.53 291.98
Δ WoW 0.08% -1.42% 0.28%
RSI(14) 59.8 52.1 62.1
Δ RSI -0.97% -4.76% -0.03%
MACD 17.60 22.35 10.79
Signal 18.61 27.50 11.09
Δ MACD -0.82% -2.53% -0.50%
vs 10W MA -0.51% -5.05% -0.39%

Divergenzanalyse

S&P 500 (SPY): Kursanstieg bei fallendem RSI → möglicher Momentumverlust
Russell 2000 (IWM): Kursanstieg bei fallendem RSI → möglicher Momentumverlust

3) Risiko & Sentiment

Metrik Aktuell Vorwoche Δ
Volatility Index (VIX) 18.61 18.70 -0.48
10Y Interest Rate 4.62 4.70 -1.85
US Dollar Index (UUP) 28.57 28.58 -0.03

4) Fazit

Akkumulationsmodus: Übergewichtung zulässig, selektiv zukaufen.

5) 📋 Portfolio Trades – letzte Woche

Symbol Unternehmen Muster Entry Exit Entry $ Exit $ P&L $ P&L % Grund
ASTH Astrana Health Inc. – 2026-06-29 2026-07-23 $44.74 $39.74 $-1,480 -11.2% Initialer Stop Loss

6) 💼 Alpaca Portfolio

Cash
$56,308
Equity
$90,735
Unrealized P&L
+$423  (+0.5%)
Positionen
4
SUN
202 Stk  ·  Ø $74.38
Aktuell: $75.65
+$257    +1.7% ▲
Marktwert: $15,281
AVNS
608 Stk  ·  Ø $24.64
Aktuell: $24.99
+$213    +1.4% ▲
Marktwert: $15,194
NTRA
50 Stk  ·  Ø $269.01
Aktuell: $252.87
$-807    -6.0% ▼
Marktwert: $12,644
QCRH
103 Stk  ·  Ø $94.96
Aktuell: $102.35
+$761    +7.8% ▲
Marktwert: $10,542

7) 📈 Kaufsignale (Blueprint-Regelwerk)

Keine Kaufsignale diese Woche — Kriterien (Score ≥ 6/8 + Vol-Breakout + RS ≥ 70 + Industry Top 50) nicht erfüllt.

Screener-Kandidaten (Score ≥ 6/8) — sortierbar, kein Handelssignal diese Woche:

Ticker Unternehmen Industry Score Muster Close RS ΔRS 4W Dist 52W H % Ind. Rank ATR % Vol-Score MarketCap
(Mio $)		 SA Scheitert an
AMBP Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Containers/Packaging 8 – 4.95 68 +14 8.84 5 4.83 2.37 2,956 SA RS < 70 · Kurs < $5 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
RNG RingCentral, Inc. Packaged software 8 – 56.66 95 +24 0.20 10 5.63 1.41 4,751 SA Rev < 20%
AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. Major banks 8 – 30.36 85 +13 0.36 2 3.17 1.43 1,190 SA Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
FFIV F5, Inc. Packaged software 8 – 408.08 84 +3 6.14 10 4.06 1.76 23,023 SA Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
RCBC River City Bank Regional banks 8 – 47.90 68 +15 4.20 16 1.02 1.39 690 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
UVSP Univest Financial Corporation Regional banks 8 – 45.05 83 +8 0.84 16 2.05 1.49 1,240 SA Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
OPK Opko Health, Inc. Medical/Nursing services 7 – 1.64 70 +10 1.92 4 5.33 3.02 1,238 SA Kurs < $5 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
IQV IQVIA Holdings, Inc. Biotechnology 7 – 239.85 65 +16 3.13 13 3.60 1.58 40,030 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
SAFT Safety Insurance Group, Inc. Property/Casualty insurance 7 – 103.07 83 +53 0.42 1 3.48 3.79 1,513 SA Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
NSA National Storage Affiliates Trust Real estate investment trusts 7 – 43.41 77 +2 4.24 15 2.40 1.92 3,370 SA Rev < 20%
OTCM OTC Markets Group Inc. Investment banks/Brokers 6 – 54.65 29 +1 6.66 27 2.24 1.30 658 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. Restaurants 6 – 368.26 44 -31 24.67 25 6.10 1.62 1,156 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Coal 6 – 26.40 37 +10 10.34 22 1.90 1.30 3,397 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
UPS United Parcel Service, Inc. Air freight/Couriers 6 – 107.56 39 -7 12.30 29 3.24 1.33 91,422 SA RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
MCEM Monarch Cement Co. (The) Construction materials 6 – 271.50 54 -7 9.42 9 2.27 2.55 1,014 SA MACD fällt · RS < 70 · EPS-Q fehlt
BWMX Betterware de Mexico, S.A.P.I. de C.V. Specialty stores 6 – 16.91 79 -6 14.55 19 4.06 3.07 630 SA MACD fällt · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
CNC Centene Corporation Managed health care 6 – 59.83 92 +11 13.83 6 4.62 1.38 29,544 SA Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
HUBB Hubbell Inc Electrical products 6 – 485.73 42 -20 13.13 28 3.35 1.55 25,667 SA MACD fällt · RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%

8) Marktführer nach Minervini (Score 8/8)

AMBP  SA 4.95
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.
Containers/Packaging
⭐ 8/8 RS 68 ΔRS +14
Rev: +18  EPS: +504
Dist 52W H: 8.8%
❌ RS < 70 · Kurs < $5 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
RNG  SA 56.66
RingCentral, Inc.
Packaged software
⭐ 8/8 RS 95 ΔRS +24
Rev: +6  EPS: +340
Dist 52W H: 0.2%
❌ Rev < 20%
AMTB  SA 30.36
Amerant Bancorp Inc.
Major banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 85 ΔRS +13
Rev: -8  EPS: +44
Dist 52W H: 0.4%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
FFIV  SA 408.08
F5, Inc.
Packaged software
⭐ 8/8 RS 84 ΔRS +3
Rev: +11  EPS: +48
Dist 52W H: 6.1%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%
RCBC  SA 47.90
River City Bank
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 68 ΔRS +15
Rev: -6  EPS: –
Dist 52W H: 4.2%
❌ RS < 70 · Rev < 20% · EPS-Q fehlt
UVSP  SA 45.05
Univest Financial Corporation
Regional banks
⭐ 8/8 RS 83 ΔRS +8
Rev: +8  EPS: +12
Dist 52W H: 0.8%
❌ Rev < 20% · EPS-Q < 20%